Will Donald Trump make between 160 and 179 Truth Social posts the week of Apr 12, 2026?

KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26APR18-B169 · Politics · Status: active · Expires: Jul 17, 2026 10:00 AM ET

Unusual Activity Score
45.5
Low Likely Moved

Last scored: Apr 18 08:59 PM

Market Stats
Current Price0.0100
Bid / Ask— / 0.0100
Volume (24h)5238
Open Interest4260
Total Volume10375
Trade of 160 contracts is 3.5 standard deviations above the average trade size of 24. Window volume of 503 is 159.3x expected for this period. 100% of 13 trades concentrated in a 5-minute burst. 13 trades in 1 minutes vs average of 2.6 per hour. 92% directional pressure toward YES. Activity occurring at 20:00 ET, outside typical trading hours. Activity detected on a weekend.
Score Breakdown
Trade Size (30%)
84.2
Trade of 160 contracts is 3.5 standard deviations above the average trade size of 24. Window volume of 503 is 159.3x expected for this period
Price Impact (25%)
15.0
Liquidity (20%)
0
Clustering (15%)
89.7
100% of 13 trades concentrated in a 5-minute burst. 13 trades in 1 minutes vs average of 2.6 per hour. 92% directional pressure toward YES
Timing (5%)
60.0
Activity occurring at 20:00 ET, outside typical trading hours. Activity detected on a weekend
Cross-Market (5%)
0
Open on Kalshi
Score History (Last 20 Cycles)
Time Score Label Status Trades Volume
Apr 18 08:59 PM 45.5 Low Likely Moved 13 503
Apr 18 08:54 PM 45.4 Low Likely Moved 14 504
Apr 18 04:31 PM 10.0 Very Low Needs Review 1 25
Apr 18 04:26 PM 10.0 Very Low Needs Review 1 25
Apr 18 04:20 PM 10.0 Very Low Needs Review 1 25
Apr 18 04:15 PM 8.1 Very Low Needs Review 2 45
Apr 18 04:10 PM 20.7 Very Low Needs Review 3 48
Apr 18 04:05 PM 20.7 Very Low Open 3 48
Apr 18 03:02 PM 0.3 Very Low Open 0 0
Apr 18 02:51 PM 27.3 Very Low Needs Review 6 44
Apr 18 02:46 PM 26.7 Very Low Needs Review 7 56
Apr 18 02:41 PM 26.7 Very Low Needs Review 7 56
Apr 18 02:36 PM 23.2 Very Low Needs Review 8 62
Apr 18 02:31 PM 20.7 Very Low Open 10 68
Apr 18 12:56 PM 4.2 Very Low Needs Review 2 5
Apr 18 12:51 PM 15.4 Very Low Needs Review 4 10
Apr 18 12:46 PM 15.4 Very Low Needs Review 4 10
Apr 18 12:41 PM 15.4 Very Low Needs Review 4 10
Apr 18 12:36 PM 15.4 Very Low Open 4 10
Apr 18 11:02 AM 35.7 Very Low Likely Moved 3 23
Recent Trades (Last 50)
Time Side Size Yes Price
Apr 18 10:00:03 PM YES 187 0.0100
Apr 18 09:43:23 PM NO 400 0.0100
Apr 18 09:37:44 PM NO 18 0.0200
Apr 18 09:36:58 PM NO 16 0.0500
Apr 18 09:35:59 PM NO 4 0.0500
Apr 18 09:34:55 PM NO 160 0.0200
Apr 18 09:34:55 PM NO 5 0.1200
Apr 18 09:34:55 PM NO 10 0.0300
Apr 18 09:34:55 PM NO 135 0.0200
Apr 18 09:34:36 PM NO 9 0.2000
Apr 18 09:34:36 PM NO 4 0.2000
Apr 18 09:34:36 PM NO 13 0.1900
Apr 18 09:34:35 PM NO 11 0.2000
Apr 18 09:34:35 PM NO 9 0.2000
Apr 18 09:34:26 PM NO 7 0.2100
Apr 18 09:34:26 PM NO 15 0.2000
Apr 18 09:33:06 PM NO 42 0.1900
Apr 18 09:33:06 PM NO 13 0.2100
Apr 18 09:33:06 PM NO 11 0.2100
Apr 18 09:33:06 PM NO 7 0.2200
Apr 18 09:32:49 PM NO 2 0.2100
Apr 18 09:32:01 PM NO 1 0.3600
Apr 18 09:32:01 PM NO 44 0.3500
Apr 18 09:30:45 PM NO 20 0.4200
Apr 18 09:29:26 PM YES 2 0.4500
Apr 18 09:26:52 PM NO 8 0.5200
Apr 18 09:26:32 PM NO 8 0.6000
Apr 18 09:26:25 PM NO 16 0.6000
Apr 18 09:26:25 PM NO 4 0.6100
Apr 18 09:21:41 PM YES 1 0.5700
Apr 18 09:21:41 PM YES 43 0.5700
Apr 18 09:09:26 PM NO 3 0.5200
Apr 18 09:09:26 PM NO 39 0.5300
Apr 18 09:09:26 PM NO 238 0.5200
Apr 18 08:59:23 PM NO 8 0.5700
Apr 18 08:59:06 PM YES 11 0.7300
Apr 18 08:59:06 PM YES 2 0.7100
Apr 18 08:59:06 PM YES 1 0.7000
Apr 18 08:31:14 PM NO 1 0.4200
Apr 18 08:30:00 PM YES 50 0.7200
Apr 18 08:30:00 PM YES 60 0.7900
Apr 18 08:30:00 PM YES 3 0.7100
Apr 18 08:30:00 PM YES 67 0.8000
Apr 18 08:30:00 PM YES 160 0.8300
Apr 18 08:30:00 PM YES 60 0.7400
Apr 18 08:30:00 PM YES 30 0.8000
Apr 18 08:30:00 PM YES 3 0.7700
Apr 18 08:30:00 PM YES 22 0.7300
Apr 18 08:30:00 PM YES 8 0.7300
Apr 18 08:30:00 PM YES 9 0.7500